Vallecano vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 26 Jan, 13:00
Vallecano
21 Full time
Girona
Vallecano 2–1 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1493 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DDDWD v LLWWL Vallecano 1.4 · Girona 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1501 vs 1493).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDDDWD1.4 ppg
GironaLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1501
Girona1493
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 30% · 33%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning50% · 25% · 25%

AI match preview

Vallecano and Girona are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41% probability of a win, while a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are expected to score, reflected in a 54% chance of BTTS and a predicted scoreline of 1-1, highlighting an evenly matched encounter. With under 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, fans might anticipate a tight game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

VallecanoGirona
5.2 Corners 4.4
2.8 Cards 2.1
14.0 Fouls 11.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Vallecano 2–1 Girona
Sept 2024 Girona 0–0 Vallecano