Leganes vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 31 Jan, 20:00
Leganes
01 Full time
Vallecano
Leganes 0–1 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 31%
Away 38%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1461 v 1509 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index WLDWD v DDWDW Leganes 1.6 · Vallecano 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1509 vs 1461).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Leganes

Green = favours Leganes · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeganesWLDWD1.6 ppg
VallecanoDDWDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Leganes1461
Vallecano1509
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 35% · 44%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning41% · 28% · 31%

AI match preview

Leganes and Vallecano face off in what the model projects as a closely contested La Liga match, with Vallecano slightly favored at 38% to claim victory, while a draw holds a 31% probability. The expected goals tally suggests a tight, low-scoring affair, with the most probable scoreline being 0-0 and both teams finding the net seen as a less likely outcome at 34%. Over 2.5 goals appears unlikely at 26%, indicating a match that could hinge on defensive solidity; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 1.11

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

LeganesVallecano
3.0 Corners 5.2
2.3 Cards 2.8
13.2 Fouls 14.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Leganes 0–1 Vallecano
Sept 2024 Vallecano 1–1 Leganes