Villarreal vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 1 Feb, 15:15
Villarreal
51 Full time
Valladolid
Villarreal 5–1 Valladolid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (76%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 76%
Draw 13%
Away 11%

💡 Villarreal are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 93.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 93.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1541 v 1386 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index DWLWD v WLWLL Villarreal 1.6 · Valladolid 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1541 vs 1386).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealDWLWD1.6 ppg
ValladolidWLWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1541
Valladolid1386
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model80% · 12% · 8%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning69% · 16% · 15%

AI match preview

Villarreal are strongly favored to secure a home win against Valladolid, with a 76% probability and a high confidence rating of 93.1/100. The model projects a likely 3-1 scoreline, supported by expected goals of 3.40 for Villarreal and 1.10 for Valladolid, indicating an attacking game with an 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% likelihood both teams will score. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used for entertainment purposes only—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.40 – 1.10

Most likely score

3-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 83%

Under 17%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

VillarrealValladolid
4.5 Corners 4.1
2.6 Cards 2.6
12.1 Fouls 12.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Villarreal 5–1 Valladolid
Oct 2024 Valladolid 1–2 Villarreal