Espanol vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 1 Feb, 20:00
Espanol
10 Full time
Real Madrid
Espanol 1–0 Real Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (65%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 20%
Away 65%

💡 Real Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 77.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1649 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index DLDWD v DWWWW Espanol 1.2 · Real Madrid 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1649 vs 1435).
  • Real Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Espanol

Green = favours Espanol · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanolDLDWD1.2 ppg
Real MadridDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Espanol1435
Real Madrid1649
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 25% · 57%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 61%
Machine-learning16% · 32% · 52%

AI match preview

Espanol hosts Real Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 65% chance of victory, reflecting strong confidence in their potential to secure three points. Despite Real Madrid's favored status, the model projects a competitive contest with an expected scoreline of 1-1 and a 54% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. These projections offer insight into possible outcomes but remember to gamble responsibly and only for entertainment (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.87

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

EspanolReal Madrid
4.2 Corners 6.1
2.4 Cards 1.8
13.4 Fouls 9.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Espanol 1–0 Real Madrid
Sept 2024 Real Madrid 4–1 Espanol