Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 2 Feb, 13:00
Barcelona
10 Full time
Alaves
Barcelona 1–0 Alaves

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (77%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 77%
Draw 12%
Away 10%

💡 Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1602 v 1459 Barcelona rated higher
Form Index DLLDW v DDLWD Barcelona 1.0 · Alaves 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Barcelona v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1602 vs 1459).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barcelona
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Barcelona
Home advantage
Barcelona

Green = favours Barcelona · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BarcelonaDLLDW1.0 ppg
AlavesDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Barcelona1602
Alaves1459
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model79% · 13% · 9%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning71% · 16% · 14%

AI match preview

Barcelona are strong favorites to secure a home win against Alaves, with a 77% probability supported by a high confidence level of 95/100. The model predicts an attacking encounter, estimating 3.41 expected goals for Barcelona and 1.20 for Alaves, with a most likely scoreline of 3-1. There is also an 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% probability that both teams will score; however, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.41 – 1.20

Most likely score

3-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 84%

Under 16%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

BarcelonaAlaves
6.7 Corners 4.9
1.9 Cards 2.6
10.0 Fouls 14.6

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys Barcelona, Spain Capacity 55,926 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Barcelona 1–0 Alaves
Oct 2024 Alaves 0–3 Barcelona