Osasuna vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 2 Feb, 17:30
Osasuna
21 Full time
Sociedad
Osasuna 2–1 Sociedad

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 30%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1487 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DLLDD v DLWLL Osasuna 0.6 · Sociedad 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1491 vs 1487).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDLLDD0.6 ppg
SociedadDLWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1491
Sociedad1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 37% · 35%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning39% · 28% · 34%

AI match preview

Osasuna and Sociedad head into this La Liga clash with closely matched probabilities, as the model slightly favors an away win at 36% over a home victory at 34%, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 30%. The expected goals are low, with 0.81 for Osasuna and 0.93 for Sociedad, pointing toward a tight, potentially goalless encounter, with 0-0 as the most likely scoreline. With just a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and only 35% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on fine margins; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.81 – 0.93

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

OsasunaSociedad
4.3 Corners 5.5
2.3 Cards 2.5
13.5 Fouls 14.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Osasuna 2–1 Sociedad
Oct 2024 Sociedad 0–2 Osasuna