Girona vs Las Palmas Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Mon 3 Feb, 20:00
Girona
21 Full time
Las Palmas
Girona 2–1 Las Palmas

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 22%
Away 21%

💡 Girona are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1484 v 1467 Girona rated higher
Form Index LWWLL v DWLLD Girona 1.2 · Las Palmas 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1484 vs 1467).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Las Palmas. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLWWLL1.2 ppg
Las PalmasDWLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1484
Las Palmas1467
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 22% · 25%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning53% · 23% · 24%

AI match preview

Girona holds a 58% chance of securing a home win against Las Palmas in this La Liga clash, with the model suggesting a moderately strong confidence level of 67.8 out of 100. The expected goals tally favors Girona at 2.21 compared to Las Palmas' 1.49, yet the most likely score remains a tight 1-1 draw. With a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% chance both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open and competitive match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.21 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

GironaLas Palmas
4.4 Corners 4.2
2.1 Cards 2.6
11.0 Fouls 11.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Girona 2–1 Las Palmas
Oct 2024 Las Palmas 1–0 Girona