Vallecano vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 7 Feb, 20:00
Vallecano
10 Full time
Valladolid
Vallecano 1–0 Valladolid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 18%
Away 12%

💡 Vallecano are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1376 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DWDWW v LWLLL Vallecano 2.2 · Valladolid 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1521 vs 1376).
  • Vallecano is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDWDWW2.2 ppg
ValladolidLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1521
Valladolid1376
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model73% · 17% · 11%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning76% · 13% · 11%

AI match preview

Vallecano enters this La Liga clash with a strong 70% probability of securing a home win over Valladolid, backed by an impressive confidence level of 84.3/100. The model projects an expected goals tally favoring Vallecano at 2.78 to Valladolid’s 1.03, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 suggesting a competitive encounter. With a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.78 – 1.03

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

VallecanoValladolid
5.2 Corners 4.1
2.8 Cards 2.6
14.0 Fouls 12.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Vallecano 1–0 Valladolid
Oct 2024 Valladolid 1–2 Vallecano