Alaves vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 13:00
Alaves
01 Full time
Getafe
Alaves 0–1 Getafe

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 32%
Away 29%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1495 Getafe rated higher
Form Index DLWDL v LWDWD Alaves 1.0 · Getafe 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Getafe

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Getafe is the stronger side on Power Rating (1495 vs 1454).
  • Getafe is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Getafe
Form Index
Getafe
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Getafe. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesDLWDL1.0 ppg
GetafeLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1454
Getafe1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 37% · 31%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning34% · 29% · 38%

AI match preview

Alaves and Getafe are projected to produce a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 32% probability and a confidence level just under 40%. Both teams are expected to score less than one goal on average, suggesting a low-scoring affair most likely to end 0-0. With only a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on a single moment; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 0.86

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

AlavesGetafe
4.9 Corners 4.0
2.6 Cards 3.3
14.6 Fouls 16.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Alaves 0–1 Getafe
Sept 2024 Getafe 2–0 Alaves