Valencia vs Leganes Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 15:15
Valencia
20 Full time
Leganes
Valencia 2–0 Leganes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 27%
Away 24%

💡 Valencia are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1449 Leganes rated higher
Form Index LDWLW v LDWDL Valencia 1.4 · Leganes 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Leganes

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1439 vs 1449).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leganes
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Leganes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLDWLW1.4 ppg
LeganesLDWDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1439
Leganes1449
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 31% · 28%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning44% · 26% · 30%

AI match preview

Valencia hosts Leganes in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 49% chance of victory, though the model also suggests a notable 27% probability of a draw. Expected goals are close, with Valencia at 1.30 and Leganes at 1.06, pointing to a tight encounter potentially ending in a 1-1 scoreline. With a 42% chance for over 2.5 goals and 49% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive match—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

ValenciaLeganes
4.4 Corners 3.0
2.0 Cards 2.3
12.1 Fouls 13.2

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Valencia 2–0 Leganes
Oct 2024 Leganes 0–0 Valencia