Sociedad vs Espanol Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 17:30
Sociedad
21 Full time
Espanol
Sociedad 2–1 Espanol

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 25%
Away 19%

💡 Sociedad are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1479 v 1451 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index LWLLL v LDWDW Sociedad 0.6 · Espanol 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1479 vs 1451).
  • Espanol is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Espanol
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Espanol. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadLWLLL0.6 ppg
EspanolLDWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1479
Espanol1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 32% · 16%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning56% · 24% · 21%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad are favored to edge out Espanyol at home with a 56% chance of victory, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.32 to 0.62. The model suggests a tight encounter, most likely finishing 1-0, with a relatively low probability for high-scoring action or both teams finding the net. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and all betting should be approached responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.62

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

SociedadEspanol
5.5 Corners 4.2
2.5 Cards 2.4
14.4 Fouls 13.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Sociedad 2–1 Espanol
Aug 2024 Espanol 0–1 Sociedad