Girona vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 14 Feb, 20:00
Girona
12 Full time
Getafe
Girona 1–2 Getafe

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 29%
Away 27%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1507 Getafe rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v WDWDW Girona 1.2 · Getafe 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Getafe

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1482 vs 1507).
  • Getafe is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Getafe
Form Index
Getafe
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Getafe. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaWLLWL1.2 ppg
GetafeWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1482
Getafe1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 30% · 28%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning33% · 29% · 38%

AI match preview

Girona hosts Getafe in a La Liga clash where the model gives the home side a 44% chance to win, slightly edging out a draw at 29% and an away victory at 27%. Expected goals suggest a close contest with Girona at 1.36 and Getafe at 1.09, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With both teams scoring predicted at 51% and an under 2.5 goals probability of 56%, this match could be tight and competitive; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Girona 1–2 Getafe
Nov 2024 Getafe 0–1 Girona