Leganes vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 15 Feb, 13:00
Leganes
33 Full time
Alaves
Leganes 3–3 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 29%
Away 38%

💡 Alaves have a slight edge — leaning Alaves, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1442 Alaves rated higher
Form Index DWDLL v LWDLL Leganes 1.0 · Alaves 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1435 vs 1442).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Leganes
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Leganes

Green = favours Leganes · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeganesDWDLL1.0 ppg
AlavesLWDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Leganes1435
Alaves1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 29% · 43%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning49% · 26% · 26%

AI match preview

Leganes host Alaves in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 29% chance. Expected goals suggest an open game with 1.18 for Leganes and 1.50 for Alaves, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.50

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Leganes 3–3 Alaves
Nov 2024 Alaves 1–1 Leganes