Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 15 Feb, 20:00
Villarreal
11 Full time
Valencia
Villarreal 1–1 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Villarreal are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1453 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v DWLWW Villarreal 2.0 · Valencia 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1453).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealLWDWW2.0 ppg
ValenciaDWLWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1560
Valencia1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model79% · 14% · 7%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning57% · 20% · 22%

AI match preview

Villarreal are favored to secure a home win against Valencia with a 62% probability, supported by a strong expected goals margin of 3.00 to 0.90. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance that both teams will score. These projections rely on statistical analysis, so please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.00 – 0.90

Most likely score

2-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 75%

Under 25%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Villarreal 1–1 Valencia
Aug 2024 Valencia 1–1 Villarreal