Espanol vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 16 Feb, 13:00
Espanol
11 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Espanol 1–1 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 27%
Away 51%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1443 v 1595 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index DWDWL v WWDDW Espanol 1.6 · Ath Bilbao 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1595 vs 1443).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Espanol

Green = favours Espanol · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanolDWDWL1.6 ppg
Ath BilbaoWWDDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Espanol1443
Ath Bilbao1595
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 30% · 41%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning22% · 30% · 48%

AI match preview

Espanol hosts Ath Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the model gives the visitors a 51% chance to win, though a draw at 27% and a home win at 23% remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.15 for Espanol and 1.41 for Ath Bilbao, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, this match could offer balanced attacking opportunities; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Espanol 1–1 Ath Bilbao
Oct 2024 Ath Bilbao 4–1 Espanol