Celta vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 21 Feb, 20:00
Celta
10 Full time
Osasuna
Celta 1–0 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 25%
Away 23%

💡 Celta are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1479 v 1502 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index LDLWD v DDWDD Celta 1.0 · Osasuna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1479 vs 1502).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaLDLWD1.0 ppg
OsasunaDDWDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1479
Osasuna1502
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 27% · 14%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning43% · 26% · 31%

AI match preview

Celta holds a moderate statistical edge over Osasuna with a 52% chance to claim victory, while draws and away wins are less likely at 25% and 23% respectively. The model predicts a tight contest with an expected 1.68 goals for Celta against 0.71 for Osasuna, making a 1-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. With only a 43% chance each for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, this matchup leans toward a low-scoring affair; remember, these projections are based on probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.71

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Celta 1–0 Osasuna
Sept 2024 Osasuna 3–2 Celta