Alaves vs Espanol Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 22 Feb, 13:00
Alaves
01 Full time
Espanol
Alaves 0–1 Espanol

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 28%
Away 22%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1445 Espanol rated higher
Form Index WDLLD v WDWLD Alaves 1.0 · Espanol 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1444 vs 1445).
  • Espanol is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Espanol
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Espanol. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesWDLLD1.0 ppg
EspanolWDWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1444
Espanol1445
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 32% · 17%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning47% · 26% · 27%

AI match preview

Alaves hold a statistical edge at home against Espanol, with a 50% chance of securing a win and an expected 1.31 goals compared to Espanol's 0.64. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely finishing 1-0, while both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals appear less probable at 36% and 31%, respectively. Remember, these projections are based on data and probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.64

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Alaves 0–1 Espanol
Sept 2024 Espanol 3–2 Alaves