Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 22 Feb, 15:15
Vallecano
01 Full time
Villarreal
Vallecano 0–1 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 28%
Away 36%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 37.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1520 v 1555 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index DWWWL v WDWWD Vallecano 2.0 · Villarreal 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1520 vs 1555).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDWWWL2.0 ppg
VillarrealWDWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1520
Villarreal1555
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 26% · 44%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning47% · 27% · 26%

AI match preview

Vallecano and Villarreal are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving the home side a slight edge at 37% to win, just ahead of Villarreal's 36% chance. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline and a strong 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals scored. Additionally, both teams finding the net is projected at 64%, indicating an open game with attacking intent; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Vallecano 0–1 Villarreal
Dec 2024 Villarreal 1–1 Vallecano