Vallecano vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 1 Mar, 15:15
Vallecano
11 Full time
Sevilla
Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1508 v 1486 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index WWWLL v DDLWD Vallecano 1.8 · Sevilla 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Sevilla

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1508 vs 1486).
  • Vallecano is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoWWWLL1.8 ppg
SevillaDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1508
Sevilla1486
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 26% · 38%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning57% · 23% · 21%

AI match preview

Vallecano and Sevilla are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring the home side at 42% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 27% and 31% respectively. Both teams are projected to score, reflected in the 65% chance of both teams finding the net and an expected goals tally near 1.6 each, suggesting a competitive encounter likely to produce goals. With a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate attacking football, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.63

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla
Nov 2024 Sevilla 1–0 Vallecano