Sociedad vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 9 Mar, 20:00
Sociedad
01 Full time
Sevilla
Sociedad 0–1 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 29%
Away 30%

💡 Sociedad have a slight edge — leaning Sociedad, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1488 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v DLWDD Sociedad 1.2 · Sevilla 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1475 vs 1488).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sevilla
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadLWLWL1.2 ppg
SevillaDLWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1475
Sevilla1488
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 30% · 35%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning51% · 25% · 24%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad and Sevilla are set for a closely contested La Liga encounter, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41% probability, while a draw and away win remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score nearly equally, with expected goals at 1.30 and 1.28 respectively, suggesting a balanced match that could end in a 1-1 draw. With a 54% chance of both teams scoring and just under half the probability for over 2.5 goals, this game may see moderate scoring — remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Sociedad 0–1 Sevilla
Nov 2024 Sevilla 0–2 Sociedad