Espanol vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Mon 10 Mar, 20:00
Espanol
11 Full time
Girona
Espanol 1–1 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 28%
Away 34%

💡 Espanol have a slight edge — leaning Espanol, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1461 Girona rated higher
Form Index DWLDW v WLLLD Espanol 1.6 · Girona 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Espanol v Girona

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1458 vs 1461).
  • Espanol is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Espanol
Goal expectation
Espanol
Home advantage
Espanol

Green = favours Espanol · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanolDWLDW1.6 ppg
GironaWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Espanol1458
Girona1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning48% · 24% · 28%

AI match preview

Espanol hosts Girona in a tightly contested La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight 38% chance of victory, closely matched by Girona's 34% probability of winning. The model anticipates a balanced encounter with an expected goals tally favoring Espanol 1.33 to 0.81, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.33 – 0.81

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Espanol 1–1 Girona
Nov 2024 Girona 4–1 Espanol