Las Palmas vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 14 Mar, 20:00
Las Palmas
22 Full time
Alaves
Las Palmas 2–2 Alaves

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 29%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1419 v 1448 Alaves rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v LDLDW Las Palmas 0.2 · Alaves 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Las Palmas v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1419 vs 1448).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasLLLDL0.2 ppg
AlavesLDLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1419
Alaves1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 26% · 40%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning39% · 29% · 32%

AI match preview

Las Palmas and Alaves are poised for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model suggesting a near-even chance between a home win (36%) and an away win (35%), while a draw holds a 29% probability. Expected goals are close, at 1.51 for Las Palmas and 1.64 for Alaves, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% probability both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.64

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Las Palmas 2–2 Alaves
Sept 2024 Alaves 2–0 Las Palmas