Girona vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 15 Mar, 20:00
Girona
11 Full time
Valencia
Girona 1–1 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Girona are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1463 v 1453 Girona rated higher
Form Index LLLDD v WDLDW Girona 0.4 · Valencia 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1463 vs 1453).
  • Valencia is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLLLDD0.4 ppg
ValenciaWDLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1463
Valencia1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 20% · 15%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning45% · 26% · 29%

AI match preview

Girona holds a slight edge at home with a 51% chance of victory against Valencia, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.37 to 1.08. The model favors a competitive 2-1 scoreline, with a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance both teams will score. These projections highlight potential attacking action but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.37 – 1.08

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Girona 1–1 Valencia
Sept 2024 Valencia 2–0 Girona