Vallecano vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 16 Mar, 17:30
Vallecano
22 Full time
Sociedad
Vallecano 2–2 Sociedad

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 29%
Away 27%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1499 v 1462 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index WLLDL v WLWLL Vallecano 0.8 · Sociedad 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Sociedad

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1499 vs 1462).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoWLLDL0.8 ppg
SociedadWLWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1499
Sociedad1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 35% · 25%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning48% · 25% · 27%

AI match preview

Vallecano host Sociedad in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 44%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The expected goals suggest a tight encounter, with Vallecano edging it 1.09 to 0.80, yet the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring seen as more probable outcomes, this matchup could hinge on a single moment; remember these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.09 – 0.80

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Vallecano 2–2 Sociedad
Aug 2024 Sociedad 1–2 Vallecano