✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.
What our model predicted
💡 Alaves have a slight edge — leaning Alaves, but it's close.
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Why we predict this
- Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1496 vs 1449).
- Alaves is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
- Model components are split — lower conviction.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
Alaves host Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors the home side with a 41% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 31%. Expected goals are low for both teams, suggesting a tight contest likely to produce few clear-cut chances, with a 0-0 draw emerging as the most probable scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring as the leading statistical outcomes, fans can anticipate a cautious encounter; remember, these projections are based on probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
0.63 – 0.76
Most likely score
0-0
27% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 16%
Under 84%
Both teams to score
Yes 26%
No 74%
Value bet vs odds
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