Valencia vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 30 Mar, 18:30
Valencia
10 Full time
Mallorca
Valencia 1–0 Mallorca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 29%
Away 28%

💡 Valencia have a slight edge — leaning Valencia, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1490 Mallorca rated higher
Form Index DLDWD v WDDDW Valencia 1.2 · Mallorca 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Mallorca

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1456 vs 1490).
  • Mallorca is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mallorca
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaDLDWD1.2 ppg
MallorcaWDDDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1456
Mallorca1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 31% · 28%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning36% · 28% · 36%

AI match preview

Valencia hosts Mallorca in a closely contested La Liga fixture where the model slightly favors a home win with a 44% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. Expected goals suggest a tight match with 1.36 for Valencia and 1.06 for Mallorca, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting balanced attacking potential. With a 50% chance both teams score and a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Valencia 1–0 Mallorca
Nov 2024 Mallorca 2–1 Valencia