Vallecano vs Espanol Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 4 Apr, 21:00
Vallecano
04 Full time
Espanol
Vallecano 0–4 Espanol

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 24%
Away 19%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1451 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index LDLDW v DWDLD Vallecano 1.0 · Espanol 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Espanol

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1514 vs 1451).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Espanol
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Espanol. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLDLDW1.0 ppg
EspanolDWDLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1514
Espanol1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 26% · 16%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 27%
Machine-learning56% · 22% · 22%

AI match preview

Vallecano are favored to edge out Espanol with a 57% chance of victory, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.73 to 0.82, though a draw remains a solid possibility at 24%. The model suggests a tight contest, with 1-1 as the most likely scoreline despite the home win prediction. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each at 47%, this match could see a balanced yet competitive affair; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.82

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Vallecano 0–4 Espanol
Aug 2024 Espanol 2–1 Vallecano