Girona vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 5 Apr, 14:00
Girona
01 Full time
Alaves
Girona 0–1 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Girona are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1431 Girona rated higher
Form Index LDDDL v LDWDL Girona 0.6 · Alaves 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1454 vs 1431).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLDDDL0.6 ppg
AlavesLDWDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1454
Alaves1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 23% · 29%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning45% · 26% · 29%

AI match preview

Girona holds a slight edge with a 47% chance of securing a home win against Alaves, who are tipped at 27%, while a draw stands at 26%. The model suggests a competitive encounter with an expected goals tally favoring Girona 2.18 to 1.70, and a 1-1 scoreline being the most probable outcome. With over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each above 70%, fans can anticipate an open game, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.70

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 73%

No 27%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Girona 0–1 Alaves
Jan 2025 Alaves 0–1 Girona