Mallorca vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 5 Apr, 18:30
Mallorca
12 Full time
Celta
Mallorca 1–2 Celta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 33%

💡 Mallorca have a slight edge — leaning Mallorca, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1480 v 1501 Celta rated higher
Form Index DDDWL v WDWWD Mallorca 1.2 · Celta 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mallorca v Celta

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1480 vs 1501).
  • Celta is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Mallorca
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaDDDWL1.2 ppg
CeltaWDWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1480
Celta1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 30% · 28%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning42% · 28% · 30%

AI match preview

Mallorca and Celta are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a Mallorca win at 38% probability, though a draw or Celta victory remain very plausible. Expected goals suggest a tight match, projecting 1.43 for Mallorca and 1.13 for Celta, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 53% chance both teams score and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive game with moderate goal action. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Mallorca 1–2 Celta
Dec 2024 Celta 2–0 Mallorca