Villarreal vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 6 Apr, 21:00
Villarreal
00 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Villarreal 0–0 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 27%
Away 34%

💡 Villarreal have a slight edge — leaning Villarreal, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1555 v 1591 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index DWLLW v WLDWD Villarreal 1.4 · Ath Bilbao 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1555 vs 1591).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealDWLLW1.4 ppg
Ath BilbaoWLDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1555
Ath Bilbao1591
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 25% · 40%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning36% · 28% · 36%

AI match preview

Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 39% probability, though a draw or away victory remain strong possibilities. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting an open game likely to produce around 1-1, supported by a 68% chance both teams score and a 65% likelihood the match exceeds 2.5 goals. As always, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly for entertainment purposes only—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Villarreal 0–0 Ath Bilbao
Dec 2024 Ath Bilbao 2–0 Villarreal