Leganes vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Mon 7 Apr, 21:00
Leganes
11 Full time
Osasuna
Leganes 1–1 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 31%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1411 v 1475 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index LWLLL v LDLLD Leganes 0.6 · Osasuna 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1475 vs 1411).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Leganes
Goal expectation
Leganes
Home advantage
Leganes

Green = favours Leganes · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeganesLWLLL0.6 ppg
OsasunaLDLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Leganes1411
Osasuna1475
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 35% · 24%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning42% · 27% · 32%

AI match preview

Leganes and Osasuna face off in what the models suggest will be a tightly contested La Liga match, with a narrow edge to the home side at 37% probability, closely followed by a draw at 31%. The expected goals tally favors Leganes slightly at 1.12 to 0.79, yet the most likely scoreline is a goalless 0-0, indicating a potentially defensive battle. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% probability for both teams to score, this game could hinge on a single moment; these projections are statistical and not guarantees—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 0.79

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Leganes 1–1 Osasuna
Aug 2024 Osasuna 1–1 Leganes