Osasuna vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 14:00
Osasuna
21 Full time
Girona
Osasuna 2–1 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Osasuna have a slight edge — leaning Osasuna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1441 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DLLDD v DDDLL Osasuna 0.6 · Girona 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Girona

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1475 vs 1441).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDLLDD0.6 ppg
GironaDDDLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1475
Girona1441
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 26% · 20%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning47% · 24% · 28%

AI match preview

Osasuna holds a slight edge in this La Liga clash against Girona, with a 45% chance of securing a home win according to model projections, while a draw and away victory are also plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a 1.85 to 1.04 advantage for Osasuna, yet the most likely scoreline remains a balanced 1-1. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities hovering around 55-56%, this encounter could offer an engaging contest—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Osasuna 2–1 Girona
Aug 2024 Girona 4–0 Osasuna