Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 16:15
Alaves
01 Full time
Real Madrid
Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 25%
Away 54%

💡 Real Madrid are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1445 v 1625 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index DWDLW v LWWWL Alaves 1.6 · Real Madrid 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Real Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1625 vs 1445).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesDWDLW1.6 ppg
Real MadridLWWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1445
Real Madrid1625
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 29% · 56%
Power Rating28% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning26% · 31% · 42%

AI match preview

Real Madrid enters their La Liga clash at Alaves as clear favorites, with a 54% chance to secure an away win according to the model, and an expected goals edge of 1.52 to 0.67. The tight predicted scoreline of 0-1 suggests a closely contested match, while the low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (37%) and both teams to score (40%) indicate a potentially cautious encounter. These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered as part of a broader analysis—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 1.52

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid
Sept 2024 Real Madrid 3–2 Alaves