Ath Bilbao vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 21:00
Ath Bilbao
31 Full time
Vallecano
Ath Bilbao 3–1 Vallecano

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 26%
Away 19%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1592 v 1486 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LDWDD v DLDWL Ath Bilbao 1.2 · Vallecano 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1592 vs 1486).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoLDWDD1.2 ppg
VallecanoDLDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1592
Vallecano1486
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 36% · 17%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning66% · 19% · 15%

AI match preview

Athletic Bilbao enters this La Liga clash with a 56% chance of securing a home win, supported by a solid 63.8/100 confidence rating from the model. Despite the home side's expected goals advantage of 1.10 to 0.54, the most likely score remains a cautious 0-0, reflecting a tight contest. With just a 23% probability for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, this matchup could lean towards a low-scoring affair; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 0.54

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 23%

Under 77%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Ath Bilbao 3–1 Vallecano
Dec 2024 Vallecano 1–2 Ath Bilbao