Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 19 Apr, 14:00
Vallecano
11 Full time
Valencia
Vallecano 1–1 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 29%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1477 v 1492 Valencia rated higher
Form Index LDWLL v WDWWW Vallecano 0.8 · Valencia 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1477 vs 1492).
  • Valencia is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Valencia
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLDWLL0.8 ppg
ValenciaWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1477
Valencia1492
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 27% · 24%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning44% · 28% · 28%

AI match preview

Vallecano hosts Valencia in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, while a draw and an away win are close behind at 28% and 29%, respectively. The model predicts a competitive encounter with an expected goals tally favoring Vallecano 1.74 to 1.15, though a 1-1 draw remains the most probable scoreline. With a 55% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Vallecano 1–1 Valencia
Dec 2024 Valencia 0–1 Vallecano