Las Palmas vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 19 Apr, 21:00
Las Palmas
10 Full time
Ath Madrid
Las Palmas 1–0 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 24%
Away 56%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1611 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Las Palmas v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1611 vs 1429).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasLDDLW1.0 ppg
Ath MadridLLDWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1429
Ath Madrid1611
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 25% · 61%
Power Rating28% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning22% · 32% · 46%

AI match preview

Las Palmas host Atlético Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 56% probability of victory, according to model projections. Atlético are expected to edge the game with an anticipated scoreline of 0-2, benefiting from a projected 1.84 expected goals compared to Las Palmas' 0.78. While the match shows a near-even chance for over 2.5 goals (49%) and both teams scoring (47%), these statistical forecasts offer insights but are not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 1.84

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Las Palmas 1–0 Ath Madrid
Nov 2024 Ath Madrid 2–0 Las Palmas