Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 20 Apr, 18:30
Sevilla
11 Full time
Alaves
Sevilla 1–1 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 28%
Away 27%

💡 Sevilla have a slight edge — leaning Sevilla, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1438 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index WLLLL v WDLWL Sevilla 0.6 · Alaves 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1438).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sevilla
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaWLLLL0.6 ppg
AlavesWDLWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1465
Alaves1438
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning49% · 26% · 25%

AI match preview

Sevilla hosts Alaves in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, though a draw or an away win remain plausible outcomes. The model predicts a closely contested match with an expected goal range of 1.16 to 1.36 per team and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 53% probability of both teams scoring and under a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals, this game could be tight and competitive—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Sevilla 1–1 Alaves
Sept 2024 Alaves 2–1 Sevilla