Leganes vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Thu 24 Apr, 19:00
Leganes
11 Full time
Girona
Leganes 1–1 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 29%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1418 Girona rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1410 vs 1418).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Leganes
Goal expectation
Leganes
Home advantage
Leganes

Green = favours Leganes · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeganesLLDLD0.4 ppg
GironaDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Leganes1410
Girona1418
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 32% · 31%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning48% · 25% · 27%

AI match preview

Leganes and Girona are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 37% versus 35% for the visitors, while a draw holds a 29% probability. Expected goals are nearly even at 1.19 for Leganes and 1.08 for Girona, suggesting a tight match likely to produce a 1-1 scoreline. With less than 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 48%, fans can anticipate a balanced encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Leganes 1–1 Girona
Nov 2024 Girona 4–3 Leganes