Ath Madrid vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Thu 24 Apr, 21:30
Ath Madrid
30 Full time
Vallecano
Ath Madrid 3–0 Vallecano

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 21%
Away 16%

💡 Ath Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1596 v 1475 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index LDWWL v DWLLD Ath Madrid 1.4 · Vallecano 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Madrid v Vallecano

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1596 vs 1475).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridLDWWL1.4 ppg
VallecanoDWLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1596
Vallecano1475
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 32% · 19%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning68% · 18% · 14%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid are favored to secure a home victory against Vallecano with a 62% probability, supported by a solid confidence level of 73.7%. The model anticipates a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.32 for Atletico and 0.73 for Vallecano, most likely ending 1-0. With only a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this match could be a low-scoring affair; remember, these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.73

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Ath Madrid 3–0 Vallecano
Sept 2024 Vallecano 1–1 Ath Madrid