Vallecano vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 2 May, 21:00
Vallecano
10 Full time
Getafe
Vallecano 1–0 Getafe

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 32%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1479 Getafe rated higher
Form Index WLLDL v LWLLL Vallecano 0.8 · Getafe 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1479).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Getafe
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Getafe
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Getafe. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoWLLDL0.8 ppg
GetafeLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1465
Getafe1479
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 31% · 45%
Power Rating44% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning42% · 27% · 31%

AI match preview

Vallecano and Getafe are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Vallecano at 38% to win, while a draw and away victory are also plausible outcomes. The expected goals tally suggests a moderately open game, with a 1-1 scoreline the most likely scenario and just under half the chances for both teams to find the net. Over 2.5 goals is less probable at 40%, indicating a match that could hinge on tight margins; as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Vallecano 1–0 Getafe
Aug 2024 Getafe 0–0 Vallecano