Las Palmas vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 3 May, 18:30
Las Palmas
23 Full time
Valencia
Las Palmas 2–3 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Las Palmas have a slight edge — leaning Las Palmas, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1492 Valencia rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Las Palmas v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Valencia is the stronger side on Power Rating (1492 vs 1439).
  • Valencia is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Valencia
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasDLWWL1.4 ppg
ValenciaWWWDD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1439
Valencia1492
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 28% · 27%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning40% · 28% · 32%

AI match preview

Las Palmas host Valencia in a closely matched La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 39%, though a draw or away victory remain well within reach. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, projecting 1.53 for Las Palmas and 1.15 for Valencia, with 1-1 emerging as the most probable scoreline. Fans can anticipate a moderately open game, as there's a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood both teams will score; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Las Palmas 2–3 Valencia
Oct 2024 Valencia 2–3 Las Palmas