Sevilla vs Leganes Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 16:15
Sevilla
22 Full time
Leganes
Sevilla 2–2 Leganes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 25%
Away 22%

💡 Sevilla are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1408 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Leganes

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Why we predict this

  • Sevilla is the stronger side on Power Rating (1454 vs 1408).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sevilla
Form Index
Leganes
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Leganes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLLLDL0.2 ppg
LeganesLDLDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1454
Leganes1408
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 36% · 29%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning55% · 24% · 22%

AI match preview

Sevilla holds a 53% chance of edging out Leganes at home in this La Liga clash, with the model indicating a tight contest given the 0.99 to 0.88 expected goals ratio. Despite the home win probability, the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw, reflecting a potentially cautious encounter with only a 29% chance of more than 2.5 goals and 39% probability both teams scoring. These projections are statistical estimations—please remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 0.88

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Sevilla 2–2 Leganes
Nov 2024 Leganes 1–0 Sevilla