Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 21:00
Sociedad
00 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad 0–0 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 31%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1463 v 1597 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index WWLDL v DDWLW Sociedad 1.4 · Ath Bilbao 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Ath Bilbao

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1463).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadWWLDL1.4 ppg
Ath BilbaoDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1463
Ath Bilbao1597
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 35% · 40%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 48%
Machine-learning31% · 30% · 40%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 36% over a home victory at 33%, while a draw holds a 31% probability. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with 0.83 for Sociedad and 1.09 for Bilbao, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 0-0. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, cautious play may define the match—remember these insights are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.09

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Sociedad 0–0 Ath Bilbao
Nov 2024 Ath Bilbao 1–0 Sociedad