Girona vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Mon 5 May, 21:00
Girona
10 Full time
Mallorca
Girona 1–0 Mallorca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 29%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1420 v 1480 Mallorca rated higher
Form Index LLLLD v LLWDL Girona 0.2 · Mallorca 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Mallorca

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Why we predict this

  • Mallorca is the stronger side on Power Rating (1480 vs 1420).
  • Mallorca is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mallorca
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLLLLD0.2 ppg
MallorcaLLWDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1420
Mallorca1480
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 30% · 30%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning36% · 28% · 35%

AI match preview

Girona and Mallorca are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with Girona slightly favored at 43% to claim victory, while a draw and away win each hold a 29% probability. The model projects a tight match with an expected goals tally of 1.41 for Girona and 1.18 for Mallorca, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 54% chance of both teams scoring and a near-even 48% probability of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Girona 1–0 Mallorca
Dec 2024 Mallorca 2–1 Girona