Girona vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 10 May, 18:30
Girona
01 Full time
Villarreal
Girona 0–1 Villarreal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 26%
Away 42%

💡 Villarreal have a slight edge — leaning Villarreal, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1430 v 1562 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index LLLDW v WDLWW Girona 0.8 · Villarreal 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1430).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLLLDW0.8 ppg
VillarrealWDLWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1430
Villarreal1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 26% · 43%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning31% · 31% · 38%

AI match preview

Girona face Villarreal in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 42% chance of winning, though a draw at 26% remains a strong possibility. The model anticipates a closely contested match, with an expected goal tally suggesting a likely 1-1 scoreline, supported by a 63% probability of both teams scoring. With over 2.5 goals projected at 60%, fans can expect an engaging encounter, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.69

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Girona 0–1 Villarreal
Dec 2024 Villarreal 2–2 Girona