Sevilla vs Las Palmas Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Tue 13 May, 21:30
Sevilla
10 Full time
Las Palmas
Sevilla 1–0 Las Palmas

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Sevilla are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1443 v 1416 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Las Palmas

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1443 vs 1416).
  • Las Palmas is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sevilla
Form Index
Las Palmas
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Las Palmas. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLDLDL0.4 ppg
Las PalmasWWLLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1443
Las Palmas1416
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 31% · 35%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning52% · 25% · 23%

AI match preview

Sevilla hosts Las Palmas in a La Liga clash where the model gives a slight edge to the home side with a 51% chance of victory, though a draw remains a solid possibility at 25%. The expected goals are closely matched around 1.16 to 1.19, suggesting a tight game, with the most likely scoreline projected as 1-1. There’s a moderate probability for both teams to score (49%) and less than half chance for over 2.5 goals (42%), so fans should anticipate a competitive, balanced encounter. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Sevilla 1–0 Las Palmas
Aug 2024 Las Palmas 2–2 Sevilla