Villarreal vs Leganes Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Wed 14 May, 19:00
Villarreal
30 Full time
Leganes
Villarreal 3–0 Leganes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 17%
Away 14%

💡 Villarreal are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 83.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1571 v 1423 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Leganes

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1571 vs 1423).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Leganes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealDLWWW2.0 ppg
LeganesLDDDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1571
Leganes1423
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 23% · 19%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning66% · 18% · 16%

AI match preview

Villarreal are favored to claim victory against Leganes with a 69% probability, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.11 to 1.14 in their favor. Despite the home win projection, the most likely scoreline is intriguingly a 1-1 draw, reflecting some balance between both sides. With a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match promises offensive action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.11 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Villarreal 3–0 Leganes
Dec 2024 Leganes 2–5 Villarreal