Celta vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 19:00
Celta
12 Full time
Vallecano
Celta 1–2 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 26%
Away 24%

💡 Celta are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1487 Celta rated higher
Form Index LWLWW v DLWWD Celta 1.8 · Vallecano 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1521 vs 1487).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaLWLWW1.8 ppg
VallecanoDLWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1521
Vallecano1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 33% · 23%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning51% · 24% · 26%

AI match preview

Celta hosts Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the model gives the home side a 50% chance of victory, reflecting a moderate edge with an expected 1.23 goals compared to Vallecano’s 0.81. Despite the home win probability, the most likely score is surprisingly projected as 0-0, highlighting a tight contest with only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. These projections are based on statistical analysis and should be used responsibly; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 0.81

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Celta 1–2 Vallecano
Jan 2025 Vallecano 2–1 Celta