Valencia vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 19:00
Valencia
01 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Valencia 0–1 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 31%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1506 v 1613 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index DDWWL v LWDWW Valencia 1.6 · Ath Bilbao 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1613 vs 1506).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaDDWWL1.6 ppg
Ath BilbaoLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1506
Ath Bilbao1613
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 34% · 36%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning25% · 30% · 45%

AI match preview

Valencia and Athletic Bilbao are poised for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 36%, but a draw remains a strong 31% probability. Both teams are expected to find the net, aligning with the 42% chance of both teams scoring and a most likely scoreline of 1-1 based on expected goals just shy of one each. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match may see a balanced, low-scoring encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Valencia 0–1 Ath Bilbao
Aug 2024 Ath Bilbao 1–0 Valencia