Valladolid vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 19:00
Valladolid
01 Full time
Alaves
Valladolid 0–1 Alaves

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (56%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 25%
Away 56%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1279 v 1459 Alaves rated higher
Form Index 0 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valladolid v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Alaves is the stronger side on Power Rating (1459 vs 1279).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Valladolid

Green = favours Valladolid · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValladolidLLLLL0 ppg
AlavesDWDLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Valladolid1279
Alaves1459
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 26% · 58%
Power Rating28% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning16% · 32% · 52%

AI match preview

Valladolid host Alaves in a La Liga clash where the model favors an away win at 56%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 25% chance. Expected goals suggest a tighter game with 0.85 for Valladolid and 1.78 for Alaves, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each at 49% probability, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.85 – 1.78

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Valladolid 0–1 Alaves
Oct 2024 Alaves 2–3 Valladolid